Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009
2025-07-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012
2025-08-03 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-08-10 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2025-08-17 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-08-24 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027
2025-09-07 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032
2025-09-14 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000036
2025-09-21 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000040
2025-09-28 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000046
2025-10-05 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000053
2025-10-12 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000064
2025-10-19 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000029 0.000076
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000092
2025-11-02 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000034 0.000107
2025-11-09 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000038 0.000128
2025-11-16 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000039 0.000141
2025-11-23 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000042 0.000165
2025-11-30 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000045 0.000197
2025-12-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000046 0.000217
2025-12-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000049 0.000247
2025-12-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000017 0.000051 0.000283